Innisfil Real Estate Market Analysis: Cooling Price Trends and Shifting Supply-Demand Dynamics

Over the past 12 months, the data indicates clear price fluctuations with the latest average sold price in September 2025 at approximately $785,953, a noticeable decline when compared to September 2024's average of about $972,005. This year-over-year decrease, combined with the HPI data showing a one-year decline of 2.24% despite strong long-term gains (26.84% over five years and 93.03% over ten years), suggests that while Innisfil’s market has performed well historically, recent adjustments may be pointing to a short-term cooling. Such a drop could be due to seasonal factors, buyer caution, or broader market corrections, and agents should be prepared to advise clients accordingly on realistic pricing and expectations for both buying and selling in the current environment.
The market supply and demand analysis further reinforces this cautious outlook. With recent months reflecting a modest number of sales compared to new and active listings — evidenced by a sales-to-new listings ratio hovering around 22-23% and months of inventory close to 8.3 — the balance appears to slightly favor buyers. Additionally, average days on market (DOM) in the upper 30s indicate a market that is less frenetic than in a hyper-competitive scenario. These indicators suggest a slower market pace where properties are taking longer to sell, potentially leading to price adjustments. Real estate agents should leverage this data to set competitive listing prices, encourage buyers to act with prudence, and advise sellers on the importance of realistic pricing strategies in a moderately oversupplied market.

Read the full article on: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board